Time to take a look at what each team’s starters have been doing this spring. I am going to leave out Hamels and Santana considering we all know the Phils and Mets will each get good years out of both barring injury. So I will focus on the #2 through #4 starters and the top 2 candidates for the 5th spot.
- Brett Myers – 8.2 IP 2 ER 8 SO 2.08 ERA
- Jamie Moyer – 11 IP 3 ER 7 SO 2.45 ERA
- Joe Blanton – 15.2 IP 4 ER 7 SO 2.30 ERA
- Chan Ho Park – 11.2 IP 2 ER 11 SO 1.54 ERA
- J.A. Happ – 15 IP 6 ER 11 SO 3.60 ERA
Biggest Question: Honestly, the Phils biggest question mark has to be Brett Myers. I believe the year he has will have the biggest effect on the 2009 Phillies’ success. The Phillies need Myers to be that strong #2 behind Hamels to anchor the rotation.
- Mike Pelfrey – 13 IP 4 ER 7 SO 2.77 ERA
- Oliver Perez – 6.2 IP 7 ER 8 SO 9.45 ERA (WBC numbers)
- John Maine – 9 IP 10 ER 8 SO 10.00 ERA
- Livan Hernandez – 14.2 IP 5 ER 7 SO 3.07 ERA
- Freddie Garcia – 7 IP 13 ER 6 SO 16.71 ERA
Biggest Question: The Mets have a couple more question marks then the Phillies I’d say, but the biggest is pretty much a tie between Perez and Maine. Perez is even more inconsistent then Myers, which is saying something, and Maine will be lucky to pitch 120 innings this year coming off surgery. A big year out of either Perez or Maine and the Mets could be in a good position to win though.
Overall I say the Phillies have the superior rotation. Call me a homer but the Phillies rotation is simply better. I mean every rotation has it’s number of questions but the Mets questions are far more serious. With our rotation you can argue Myers’ inconsistency, Moyer’s age, Blanton’s off year last year being looked at as regression, can Happ put together a good full season in the majors, and can Chan Ho Park really maintain what he has been doing this spring? But I will take those question marks over whether or not Pelfrey can duplicate his success last year, can Perez put together a string of more then 1 quality start in a row, Maine staying healthy (which he has yet to prove he can), and Livan hernandez actually keeping up what he has been doing in spring. The Mets just have too many questions…